Change is afoot for Europe with a lame duck in Washington’s Pennsylvania Avenue and the peel of tolling bells resonating up to the door of a Downing Street resident.
Two leaders, two men, for various reasons, in deep political trouble. Not for the first time, an American president has been humiliated by his actions in Iran. Donald Trump is famously, or probably infamously, not a reader but he could have done worse than cast his eyes over Jimmy Carter’s account of his doomed military foray to rescue US hostages in Teheran in 1980 in a military mission given the wildly optimistic Operation Eagle Claw. Misguided American optimism in its military targeting of Iran is nothing new. Meanwhile in Britain, a prime minister’s stint at Downing Street has come to an end and Andy Burnham is set to bring his own furniture into No 10.
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Such a state of affairs should see the gleeful rubbing of hands in Moscow but whatever emotions are being felt in the Russian capital glee is not one of them. A gray pall recently lingered over the Russian capital after a Ukraine drone strike. A Russian leader seems inept, a hostage to the very situation he himself has unleashed.
In contrast President Volodymyr Zelensky may have an extra spring in his step. Ukraine, with sophisticated domestic drones and missiles, has stalled the invasion.
For the Russians, the dead and wounded have hit about 30,000 a month. Casualties of about a 1,000 a day will not for long be acceptable even in a country where news of the war is heavily censored. Drone strikes launched from inside Ukraine have penetrated deep into Russia. A grim milestone has been reached. Putin’s 2022 “special military operation,” which was supposed to bring a swift victory, has now lasted longer than the First World War. The bloodshed that started in August 1914 was meant to be over by Christmas. You do not need to be a student of history to realize that it lasted much longer and led to the overthrow of a Russian leader.
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