President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russian forces are losing momentum on the battlefield, citing sustained casualties and a slowdown in offensive operations – a trend also reflected in independent battlefield assessments.
“We can say that they are losing the initiative,” Zelensky said in an interview with The Guardian. “Each day, day by day, they’re losing this.”
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He said Ukraine’s position has improved over recent months but cautioned against overconfidence.
“It looks really optimistic for us,” he said, “but the situation on the battlefield can change each day.”
Zelensky’s assessment aligns with recent analysis from the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War, which reported that Russian forces made only minimal territorial gains in recent months, with advances dropping sharply compared to 2025 levels.
According to ISW-linked assessments and aggregated battlefield data, Russian forces in May 2026 captured only around 14-82 square kilometers (5-32 square miles), depending on methodology, marking one of the slowest monthly advances since the early stages of the war.
At the same time, Ukrainian forces have not only held defensive lines but in some sectors regained ground. Ukrainian military leadership said Kyiv recaptured over 600 square kilometers (232 square miles) in 2026, with net gains exceeding losses in recent months.
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