Key Takeaways from the ISW:
- The Kremlin appears to be struggling to adjust its narrative line in response to the Trump administration’s recent denial of Russian negotiating tactics and acknowledgement of Ukrainian battlefield successes.
- An anonymous Russian general reportedly acknowledged that the Kremlin is inflating Russian battlefield successes to generate a false perception of Russian sweeping advances while maintaining its commitment to a war of attrition that Russia cannot win in a continued attempt to convince Ukraine and the West to capitulate to Russia’s demands.
- Ukrainian forces appear to have initiated a new phase in their campaign to isolate occupied Crimea by targeting Russian seaborne gasoline tankers.
- Ukrainian forces conducted long-range strikes against Russian energy infrastructure in Russia on the night of July 8 to 9. Russian forces launched 2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 94 drones against Ukraine overnight.
- Neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces made confirmed advances on July 9.
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