As Ukrainian drone forces continue their offensive against infrastructure and transport targets in Crimea, the Russians must adapt. In the meantime, the symbolism of isolating the Kremlin Empire’s crown jewel on the Black Sea is having a psychological ripple effect in Moscow.
Dr. Andreas Umland of the newly founded European Policy Institute in Kyiv (EPIK) offers insights to German newspaper Bild into the ongoing attempt by the Ukrainian military to isolate occupied Crimea logistically.
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Ukrainian attacks on fuel depots and refineries – even deep inside Russia – have dominated the news in recent weeks. How significant is the damage to the Russian (war) economy?
The extent of the damage was difficult to assess over several months. Over the past two weeks, however, it has become clear that the destruction of oil processing and storage infrastructure has been more effective than earlier assumed. Gasoline, diesel, kerosene, and other refined products are now only available at higher prices and in limited quantities. As a result, all aspects of Russian economic and social life are under pressure. The shortage appears to be most severe in occupied Crimea.
Over the weekend, Ukraine concentrated its attacks on Crimea, which is occupied in violation of international law – what would it mean for Russia if the peninsula were completely cut off from occupied Ukraine? Both ideologically and militarily.
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