Key Takeaways from the ISW:
- Russian Chief of the General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov continues to make greatly exaggerated claims of Russian advances amidst Russian forces’ poor performance in their ongoing Spring-Summer 2026 offensive.
- Even the most generous interpretations of other Russian sources do not support Gerasimov’s claims.
- Gerasimov is likely attempting to obscure Russia’s disappointing lack of progress thus far in its Spring-Summer 2026 offensive.
- The Kremlin continues its efforts to militarize Russian society and appoint loyal veterans to positions of authority ahead of Russia’s State Duma elections in September 2026.
- Ukrainian long-range drone strikes continue to have significant impacts on Russian oil production.
- Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Kupyansk direction and the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area.
- Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Russian oil infrastructure and military assets. Russia launched two Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 143 drones against Ukraine overnight.
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