Key Takeaways from the ISW:
- Russian forces are increasingly conducting mechanized assaults on the frontline, possibly as part of intensified preparation for their Spring-Summer 2026 offensive.
- Ukraine remains committed to holding safe, free, and fair elections, but the Kremlin is refusing to commit to the ceasefire necessary to hold such elections.
- The Kremlin is trying to use its intelligence sharing with Iran as a bargaining chip to benefit its war against Ukraine.
- French and British authorities seized a Russian shadow fleet oil tanker in the Mediterranean Sea on March 20.
- Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko highlighted Belarus’ cooperation with Russia and Iran while discussing possible economic deals with the United States.
- The Russian Central Bank lowered its key interest rate from 15.5 percent to 15 percent on March 20 – the seventh time the Russian Central Bank has cut its rates since June 2025.
- Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Slovyansk and Hulyaipole and in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area.
- Russian forces launched 156 drones against Ukraine, including against Kharkiv City and Mykolaiv, Poltava, and Chernihiv oblasts.
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