Channel 12 News poll shows opposition parties with 68 seats and Jewish opposition parties with 58, while the coalition holds 52 seats. Jewish opposition parties would still fall short of a majority without Arab parties, the poll finds
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Channel 12 News poll shows opposition parties with 68 seats and Jewish opposition parties with 58, while the coalition holds 52 seats. Jewish opposition parties would still fall short of a majority without Arab parties, the poll finds
12:09 AM • June 30 2026 IDT
A Channel 12 News poll published Monday predicts that the Yashar party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, gains one seat, as the former IDF chief continues to solidify his momentum in the polls.
The Likud party, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, also gains one seat and remains the largest party, while Naftali Bennett's Together list loses one seat.
Overall, the poll predicts opposition parties would win 68 seats, while the coalition would win 52 seats. As in a series of recent polls, Jewish opposition parties would fall short of a 61-seat Knesset majority without Arab parties.
According to the poll, Likud wins 24 seats, followed by the Yashar party with 22 seats. The Together list receives 17 seats. The Democrats receive 10 seats, and Yisrael Beiteinu receives nine seats, unchanged from the previous poll.
Shas and United Torah Judaism maintain their strength with nine and seven seats, respectively. The far-right Otzma Yehudit loses one seat, dropping to eight.
Hadash-Ta'al loses one seat and falls to five seats, while the United Arab List gains one seat and rises to five seats. Religious Zionism, led by far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, remains at four seats.
Parties that do not cross the electoral threshold include Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, with 2.5 percent support, the Reservists party with 2.2 percent, and Balad with 1.4 percent. None of these parties passed the 3.25 percent threshold in recent polls.
In a separate scenario, the poll asked about a unified list combining Blue and White with Brig. Gen. (res.) Dedi Simhi and Yoaz Hendel's Reservists party. In that case, the joint list would win six seats. Likud, the Yashar party, and the Together list would each lose two seats.
In that scenario, Jewish opposition parties would hold 54 seats, the coalition would hold 50 seats, and Arab parties would hold 10 seats.
The poll was conducted by the Midgam Institute, led by Mano Geva, using telephone and online interviews with 504 respondents. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
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