ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 5, 2026

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

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ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 5, 2026

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukraine will support US air defense efforts against Iranian Shahed drone strikes in the Middle East.
  • Kremlin officials are criticizing the United States for military operations against Iran and are using the escalation in the Middle East to set conditions to blame the United States for any future failures in negotiations for a peace in Ukraine.
  • Other Russian officials are using US military operations against Iran to harshly criticize the United States and rhetorically place Russia and the United States in opposition and discredit US-led negotiations in Ukraine.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a routine decree on March 4 marginally increasing the authorized end strength of the Russian military as part of the ongoing Russian military reforms.
  • Russian authorities arrested a fourth deputy of former Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, continuing the long-standing Kremlin campaign to remove personnel loyal to Shoigu and neutralize his influence within the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD).
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area.

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