Key Takeaways from the ISW:
- Ukraine’s expanding long-range strike campaign against Russian oil infrastructure is exploiting overstretched Russian air defenses and significantly damaging Russian oil export capabilities.
- Russian milbloggers continued to criticize the ineffectiveness of Russian air defense systems and highlight the impact of Ukrainian strikes.
- The Russian military is experiencing manpower challenges and is unable to recruit enough contract soldiers to replace its frontline losses.
- The Russian MoD is attempting to generate additional manpower through other sources, regardless of the financial and societal costs.
- Russia is facing increasing recruitment challenges as the pool of Russians willing to sign contracts declines, despite Kremlin efforts to increase signing bonuses and tap additional sources of manpower.
- Ukraine’s Western partners continue to provide air defense aid to Ukraine.
- Ukrainian forces recently advanced in northern Kharkiv Oblast and the Velykyi Burluk direction.
- Russian forces launched 141 drones against Ukraine.
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