ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 16, 2026

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

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ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 16, 2026

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Russian authorities and energy companies are increasingly restricting the sale of gasoline and diesel in Russia as Ukraine’s long-range strikes against Russian oil infrastructure cause shortages.
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky continues to express willingness to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin — an invitation the Kremlin continues to reject.
  • Russia reportedly has one remaining operational Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) left in its arsenal but will likely seek to manufacture more.
  • Neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces recently advanced.
  • Russian forces launched two ballistic missiles and 132 drones against Ukraine overnight.

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