ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 10, 2026

Latest from the Institute for the Study of War.

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ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 10, 2026

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

  • Russian and Ukrainian forces continued limited offensive operations across the theater throughout the second day of the May 9–11 ceasefire.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin vaguely suggested that the war in Ukraine could end soon, despite offering no indication that Russia intends to end the war.
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky refuted Russian claims that Ukraine is sabotaging the planned prisoner of war (POW) exchange as part of the three-day Victory Day ceasefire.
  • Russia appears to be increasing the sophistication of its cognitive warfare effort that uses flag raisings to achieve informational impacts.
  • The Kremlin and the Russian military command continue to coerce and punish pro-war information space figures critical of Russian political and military leadership as part of a wider effort to consolidate control over the information space.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Borova and Slovyansk directions, the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

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